Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Borderline Storm Pattern

As of 8am on Tuesday, the NAM and GFS model runs continue to advertise the development of a moderate storm system that is forecast to move across Central PA and into Northern NJ. Temperatures to the south of this system are more favorable for a wintry mix of precipitation and rain, but to the north, it should be all snow. With the GFS looking stronger and further south than the NAM, some areas in the northeast should see some snow this coming Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. At this point, snowfall totals should be in the 4-8" range along Northern and Central NJ, Southeastern NY, NYC and Long Island while lesser amounts (Dusting to 2") can be expected northward up to Albany. Hunter Mountain is poised to do well with this storm and ski enthusiasts should be happy with the results. The storm will be a fast moving storm and the exact motion of this storm will be crucial to the ptype and also the amount of snow that falls. Arctic air will be ushered in as the storm departs on Friday.

Long Range: Most interestingly of all...the Models are advertising a bombing low pressure system with potential Blizzard conditions across Upstate NY around 12/16/07. Might we see 6-12" of snow in parts of the Northeast? If everything pans out the way it looks this morning the answer is yes. Since things can change this many days out, Stay tuned!!

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